Background of Assam.
The government of India, which has the unilateral powers to change the borders of a state, divided Assam into several states since 1970 to satisfy national aspirations of the tribal populations living within the then borders of then Assam.
In 1963 the Naga Hills district became the 16th state of India under the name of Nagaland. Part of Tuensang was added to Nagaland.
In 1970, in response to the demands of the tribal peoples of the Meghalaya Plateau, the districts embracing the Khasi Hills, Jaintia Hills, and Garo Hills were formed into an autonomous state within Assam; in 1972 it became a separate state under the name of Meghalaya.
In 1972, Arunachal Pradesh (the North East Frontier Agency) and Mizoram (from the Mizo Hills in the south) were separated from Assam as union territories; both became states in 1986.
Since the restructuring of Assam after independence, communal tensions and violence remain there. Separatist groups began forming along ethnic lines, and demands for autonomy and sovereignty grew, resulting in fragmentation of Assam.
In 1961, the Government of Assam passed a legislation making use of the Assamese language compulsory. It was withdrawn later under pressure from Bengali speaking people in Cachar.
In the 1980s the Brahmaputra valley saw a six-year Assam Agitation triggered by the discovery of a sudden rise in registered voters on electoral rolls. It tried to force the government to identify and deport foreigners illegally migrating from neighboring Bangladesh and changing the demographics. The agitation ended after an accord between its leaders and the Union Government, which remained unimplemented, causing simmering discontent.
The post 1970s experienced the growth of armed separatist groups like United Liberation Front of Asom (ULFA) and National Democratic Front of Bodoland (NDFB).
In November 1990, the Government of India deployed the Indian army, after which low-intensity military conflicts and political homicides have been continuing for more than a decade.
In recent times, ethnicity based militant groups have grown. Regional autonomy has been ensured for Bodo-Kachari community in Bodoland Territorial Council Areas (BTC), for the Karbis in Karbi Anglong and for the people of Dima Hasao district under the 6th schedule and Autonomous District Councils (ADC) areas under Indian constitution, while Non-6th Schedule States in the North-East where under 73rd and 74th amendments (Panchayati Raj Institutions) have been applied in Assam (excluding Karbi Anglong Autonomous District Council and North Cachar Hills Autonomous Council), after agitation of the communities due to sluggish rate of development and general apathy of successive state governments towards indigenous communities.
Sarbananda Sonowal, aged 53 years took oath on Tuesday evening at 16:36 (IST) at Guwahati as Chief Minister of Assam. The legislative assembly comprises of 126 members, of which BJP has 60 members, Assam Ganasangram Parishad (AGP) 14, and Bodoland People’s Front (BDF) 12. Bodoland is proposed state of India consisting of areas located in the extreme north on the north bank of the Brahmaputra river in the state of Assam, in north east region of India, by the foothills of Bhutan and Arunachal Pradesh.
Thus, this coalition government of NDA with 86 members formed the government. The half way majority for formation of government is 64. So in this case, the government is formed with the alliance with two other parties, which are AGP and BDF.
Following is the oath taking chart…
In any oath taking chart the analysis begins with the aspects of panchang, i:e. Muhutha (tithi, vaar, nakshatra, yoga and karana). Apart from the panchang parameters, there are certain houses which play a very important role in a oath taking chart. These are 1st house (about the CM, people, general condition of the state, etc), 4th house is opposition, 7th house is allies (in this case is AGF and BDF) and lastly the 10th house.
Now let us see the panchang parameters.
– Tithi was “Krishnapaksh triteeya”. It’s a “Jaya” tithi ruled by Mars. In the above chart Mars is in its own house in Scorpio and retrograde. Mars rules the 7th house of allies. Its effect will be dealt with later.
– Vaar was “Tuesday”. Actually no auspicious work is done on a Tuesday. The day lord is Mars and its retrograde and not good.
– Nakshatra is Moola, which is ruled by “Nirriti”, goddess of destruction. Moola means the root. Moola connotes the ideas of foundation and commencement. Moola does not indicate fortune or luck. Its lord Ketu is placed in the sign of Aquarius. As per vedic astrology, Rahu is part lord of Aquarius and Ketu is part lord of Scorpio. So placement of Ketu is not a welcome sign in Aquarius. Moreover, in Navamsa, Ketu is in sign of Taurus, which is debilitation.
– Yoga is “Sadhya” ruled by Venus. Sadhya yoga as such is good, but its lord is placed in 8th house and combust too. Venus is aspected two retrograde malefics Saturn and Mars. So, Venus is heavily afflicted.
– Karana is “Vanija” ruled by Venus again.
Now, let us go into analysis of oath taking chart.
– The strength of the chart is seen by presence of benefics in Kendra and Trikona and Malefics in 3, 6 and 11. In the above chart, all the Kendras are empty except that 7th house is occupied by Mercury. But Mercury getting aspect of Rahu becomes a malefic. Even the Trikonas are not occupied by benefics. The 5th house is occupied by Ketu. The houses 3rd is occupied by a benefic Moon but here also because of aspect of Rahu it loses its strength. The 6th house is empty and 11th house is occupied by both Rahu and Jupiter. So foundation of the chart is weak.
– The lagna rising is Libra a cardinal sign. For any muhurat and that too in a oath taking chart, the lagna should be a “Fixed” sign. So it does not show stability which means there will be lots of challenges he will have to face. The lagna lord is Venus is placed in the 8th house at 5 degrees of Taurus, close to Sun at 9 degrees. Venus is aspected (opposition) by retrograde Saturn and Mars. The lagna lord going in the 8th house shows that life is not going to easy as he will face lot of obstacles (as its 8th house). Mars which aspects Venus is lorded by the 7th house of allies, which is going to give him tough times. Mars is also lord of 2nd house which denotes money matters and here again there will be lot of support that he will require from the centre. The aspect of Saturn, the lord of 4th house of Opposition is also going to give him tough time too. So he need to balance between both the opposition and its allies.
– The 4th house is ruled by Capricorn (which is for Opposition). The lord of 4th house Saturn is retrograde in the 2nd house along with retrograde Mars. This is a confluence of both opposition and allies. This will create trouble in the later years.
– The 7th house is ruled by Aries (which is for Allies) is ruled by Mars and is placed in the 2nd house. The effect of it is already explained above. Added to this Mercury in the 7th house is in Marana Karak Sthana (MKS).
– The 8th house is ruled by Taurus and its lord Venus is afflicted as its combust being very close to Sun. This house if seen for longevity.
– The 10th house is ruled by Cancer whose lord is placed in 3rd house and aspected by Rahu from the 11th house. The 3rd house though upachaya house is also a mild malefic house. So governance is going to be tough. The 3rd house is neighbouring countries. The lord of 3rd house (neighbouring countries) and 6th house (riots, disputes, etc) Jupiter is placed in the 11th house in the star of Venus in the 8th house. Moreover, it is conjunct Rahu and aspected by retrograde Saturn. Here a very important point that needs to be taken into account is that Assam shares the international border with Bhutan and Bangladesh. We all know Assam faces challenge from the illegal migrants from Bangladesh. NDA in its manifesto has promised to stop the illegal migrants and also send back the illegal migrants back. The aspect of Rahu will create a major challenge for the CM to tackle the infiltration issue and sending back infiltrators.
Moon is important as it forms the part of muhurta. Strong Moon is essential for choosing a good muhurta and ensures longevity of the government. It should not be afflicted any way or conjunct with malefics.
If Moon is placed in higher nadis the power and authority of the King increases. King is strong and has absolute power if Moon is in SIMHASAN. The power of the king is reduced if it is in ADHAAR. Moon in PATTA will give only limited power.
The position of Saturn is important as it is not only planet of masses and democracy but is also significator of death and destruction. It should in no way afflict Moon, Lagna or the 10th house. Its aspect on Sun and benefic planets is evil.
In the oath taking chart, Moon is in the nakshatra of Moola which falls in “Aadhar” patta. This is the lowest one which denotes that there will not be any power to him. Moreover, Moon is also afflicted by the aspect of Rahu. Saturn the planet of masses and democracy is in the star of Jyeshta, which also falls under “Aadhar” patta. It also aspects Sun which is supposed to be evil. Saturn also aspects (through its retrograde aspect) Moon. So the longevity of the government is surely at stake.
Kota (Fort) Chakra
The kota chakra represents a Fort like structure. The placement of 28 Nakshatra in Kota Chakra begins with Janma Nakshatra, which is placed in the North Eastern corner of diagram.
Kota Chakra is divided into four sections as follows:
– Stambha (Innermost Portion)
Stambha is important pillar that support a building. In Kota Chakra, it is the central courtyard. This innermost portion of the Kota Chakra is indicated as green coloured box in above figure. Counting from janma nakshatra; 4th, 11th, 18th and 25th constellation falls in this division.
– Durgantara or Madhya (Inner-Middle Portion)
This portion is also called Madhya Bhaga is in between inner and outer divisions of Kota Chakra. This portion comprises corridors and rooms of residents. Hence for a favourable transit result, Kota Swami should ideally be located in this division. On the map of Kota Chakra, 3rd, 5th, 10th, 12th, 17th, 19th, 24th, and 26th lunar asterism from janma nakshatra falls in this portion.
– Prakaara (Boundary Wall)
Prakaara is considered boundary, edge or walls. This portion of Kota Chakra is depicted here in pinkish red colour. In the purview of Kota Chakra, Prakaara Bhaga functions as the wall surrounding Durgantara. Counting from janma nakshatra, 2nd, 6th, 9th, 13th, 16th, 20th, 23rd, and 27th constellation is placed in this division of Kota Chakra.
– Bahya (Exterior of the Fort)
Bahya means outside the boundary or fence. This outermost division is the portion that surrounds the rest of Kota. In fact, it has no boundary as this segment is itself comprising the border area. Bayha Bhaga is considered a suitable placement for Kota Paala just like a guard should ideally stay at the fence of one‟s home. Bahya Bhaga comprises 1st, 7th, 8th, 14th, 15th, 21st, 22nd, and 28th lunar constellation from janma nakshatra.
Kota Swami is also referred to as Durgapati. It literally means Lord of the Fort. Kota Swami is simply the Lord of the Rashi in which the natal Moon is posited. For example, if someone was born with Moon in Taurus then Venus should be his Kota Swami of Kota Chakra.
Kota Paala literally means Guard of the Ford. Paala also signifies one who tends and cares. Finding Kota Paala is bit difficult and cumbersome. Kota Paala is the lord of Pada of Janma Nakshatra as per Avakahada Chakra (आवकहदग चक्र) and is the planet representing the initial sound /first letter of the native’s name.
The Kota Swami is Jupiter and Kota Pala is Saturn. Kota Swami which represents the CM should ideally be inside the “Durgantara”. In this present case the Kota Swami is placed outside and Kota Pala is also placed outside. Moreover, two malefics, namely Saturn and Mars, which are retrograde are at the Entry points in the nakshatra of Jyestha and Anuradha. In the case of retrograde the Entry and Exit gets reversed. So here in this chakra too the oath taking chart loses its quality.
5 year Compressed Vimsottari Dasa:
Ketu: 2016-03-15 – 2016-06-29
Venus: 2016-06-29 – 2017-04-30
Sun: 2017-04-30 – 2017-07-30
Moon: 2017-07-30 – 2017-12-29
Mars: 2017-12-29 – 2018-04-15
Rahu: 2018-04-15 – 2019-01-14
Jupiter: 2019-01-14 – 2019-09-14
Saturn: 2019-09-14 – 2020-06-29
Mercury: 2020-06-29 – 2021-03-15
From the above it is seen that till April 2017 it will be period of Venus and thereafter it will be period of Sun till July, 2017. These periods will be a great challenge for him. During the month of September, 2016 there will be two eclipses which exactly falls on the natal Jupiter, which is lord of 3rd and 6th house. During this period we can see agitation in Assam by the people demanding on the issue of infiltration. During the period from April 2017 to June 2017, when Mars will transit 8th house, Jupiter will transit Virgo and aspect 8th house and retrograde Saturn aspecting the 8th house will prove challenging.
Similarly, November 2017 also the Dasa of Moon which is in 3rd house in Sagittarius will also be afflicted by transit Saturn in Sagittarius, Mars in Virgo and Rahu in Cancer will aspect 3rd Saturn which is 3rd house lord from Moon. Here again there will be cry from people for stopping the infiltration and this will create tension at the borders of Assam (as 3rd house is for bordering countries). There will also be demand from BDF for a separate state for Bodoland.
Overall the chart does not have strength and there will be several challenges that CM will have to face. The main issue that he will face is on the issue of infiltration which will result in agitation at the borders of Bangladesh and Bhutan and also demand for separate state for Bodoland.
B.Com, MBA (NMIMS, Mumbai)
2 year Jyotirvid and 3 year Jyotirvisharad
(From Bharatiya Vidya Bhavan, Mumbai (BVB))
June 23, 2016
Mumbai, 5.30 PM